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Red83
999413.6
802416.1
401142.3
Blue28
616629.6
99934.4
702142.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62950501502008328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.4
37.338.7
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
red by 0.2
42.13.9
48.944.9
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
Second
16.11.4
9.711.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
blue by 13.5
29.63.9
27.323.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Third
13.62.4
9.311.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
red by 9.2
4.46.6
11.14.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsMissed