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Red77
999211.9
642149.8
99917.9
Blue57
591417.5
297719.5
533913.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86390501001502007757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.8
42.142.9
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 30.3
19.50.3
19.319.6
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Second
9992
#11
11.91.3
12.914.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
blue by 5.6
17.50.3
16.516.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Third
9991
#12
7.91.3
5.26.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 5.1
5339
#10
13.00.3
12.212.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed