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Red60
99917.9
802416.1
616629.6
Blue52
702142.1
533913.0
99934.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437001001502006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.3
23.324.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
blue by 12.5
42.10.7
44.944.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
Second
16.11.3
11.112.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
red by 3.1
5339
#10
13.00.7
12.411.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
Third
9991
#12
7.92.0
6.58.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 3.5
4.41.0
4.53.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed