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Qual 162023 Rumble on the River
Red98
642149.8
999413.6
401142.3
Blue52
999211.9
297719.5
591417.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1144501001502002509852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#1
49.80.3
42.9→43.2
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 30.3
2977
#6
19.50.6
19.6→19.0
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Second
4011
#3
42.30.3
38.7→39.0
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
red by 24.8
5914
#7
17.50.6
16.8→16.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Third
9994
#4
13.60.5
11.8→12.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
red by 1.7
9992
#11
11.90.9
14.2→13.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsMissed