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Red42
297719.5
99917.9
999413.6
Blue107
616629.6
401142.3
533913.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5276010015042107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
19.019.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
blue by 22.8
42.30.8
39.039.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Second
13.60.2
12.212.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
blue by 16.0
29.60.8
24.625.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Third
9991
#12
7.90.2
8.48.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 5.1
5339
#10
13.00.8
11.812.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed