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Red30
297719.5
802416.1
99934.4
Blue13
533913.0
999211.9
999413.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395701001502003013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.6
19.218.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 5.9
13.62.2
12.410.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Second
16.10.6
14.113.5
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
red by 3.1
5339
#10
13.01.7
12.510.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
Third
4.40.8
6.05.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 7.5
9992
#11
11.92.2
13.110.9
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed13%Activation oddsMissed