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Qual 202023 Rumble on the River
Red103
591417.5
99917.9
642149.8
Blue124
401142.3
616629.6
702142.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70116050100150200250300103124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#1
49.81.6
45.0→46.5
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 7.5
4011
#3
42.31.0
39.8→40.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Second
5914
#7
17.51.6
16.1→17.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
blue by 24.6
7021
#9
42.11.0
44.1→45.1
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
Third
9991
#12
7.92.1
8.7→10.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 21.7
6166
#2
29.61.0
25.4→26.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned