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Red70
802416.1
591417.5
616629.6
Blue33
999211.9
99917.9
999413.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58502040801007033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.5
26.426.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
red by 16.0
13.60.7
10.29.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Second
17.50.5
17.718.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
red by 5.6
9992
#11
11.90.7
10.910.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Third
16.10.5
13.514.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
red by 8.2
9991
#12
7.90.7
10.710.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned16%Activation oddsMissed