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Qual 222023 Rumble on the River
Red118
642149.8
533913.0
702142.1
Blue64
99934.4
401142.3
297719.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1096205015020011864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#1
49.81.0
46.5→47.5
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 7.5
4011
#3
42.30.0
40.8→40.8
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Second
7021
#9
42.11.0
45.1→46.1
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
red by 22.6
2977
#6
19.50.0
18.5→18.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Third
5339
#10
13.01.0
10.9→11.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
red by 8.5
9993
#8
4.40.0
5.1→5.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed