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Qual 262023 Rumble on the River
Red104
999413.6
999211.9
642149.8
Blue49
702142.1
99934.4
99917.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86650204010012014010449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#1
49.82.2
48.7→51.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 7.7
7021
#9
42.10.5
43.8→43.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
Second
9994
#4
13.62.2
10.8→13.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
red by 5.7
9991
#12
7.90.5
7.4→6.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Third
9992
#11
11.92.2
10.8→13.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 7.5
9993
#8
4.40.5
5.1→4.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsMissed