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Red92
702142.1
642149.8
999211.9
Blue55
591417.5
999413.6
533913.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127380501001502002509255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.3
51.050.6
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 32.3
17.50.3
17.017.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Second
42.10.3
43.343.0
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End7.8
red by 28.5
13.60.3
13.113.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Third
9992
#11
11.90.3
13.112.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.0
End3.8
blue by 1.1
5339
#10
13.00.3
12.412.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4