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Red45
802416.1
616629.6
99917.9
Blue76
297719.5
401142.3
99934.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537401001502004576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
28.628.4
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
blue by 12.7
42.30.0
42.542.5
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
Second
16.10.1
15.115.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
blue by 3.4
19.50.0
19.719.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
Third
9991
#12
7.90.1
6.96.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 3.5
4.40.0
4.74.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9