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Red83
642149.8
297719.5
616629.6
Blue22
99934.4
591417.5
802416.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103320501502008322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.1
42.141.0
Auto14.4
Teleop26.8
End8.6
red by 32.3
17.51.0
13.812.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
Second
29.61.1
26.325.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
red by 13.5
16.11.0
13.012.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
19.51.1
21.420.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 15.0
4.41.7
10.99.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed