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Red55
591417.5
999413.6
533913.0
Blue57
802416.1
616629.6
99917.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535230406070805557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.3
17.217.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End3.6
blue by 12.1
29.60.2
28.428.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Second
13.60.3
13.413.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End4.7
blue by 2.5
16.10.2
15.015.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
5339
#10
13.00.3
12.713.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.3
End3.4
red by 5.1
9991
#12
7.90.2
6.86.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8