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Red54
297719.5
401142.3
99934.4
Blue77
802416.1
616629.6
99917.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745302040601001201401605477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.3
42.642.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.3
End7.7
red by 12.7
29.60.6
28.629.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.8
End7.8
Second
19.50.3
19.819.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End6.7
red by 3.4
16.10.6
15.115.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
4.40.3
4.74.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 3.5
9991
#12
7.90.6
6.97.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.8