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Red179
247051.3
523248.3
318460.2
Blue177
534848.4
472859.9
284752.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161164120140180200179177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#12
60.20.6
59.760.3
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
red by 0.3
59.90.4
59.259.6
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
Second
51.30.6
50.851.5
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
blue by 1.6
52.90.4
52.352.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Third
5232
#19
48.30.6
47.848.5
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
blue by 0.1
5348
#10
48.40.4
47.848.2
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5