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Final 12023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red121
247051.3
523248.3
318460.2
Blue158
534848.4
472859.9
284752.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163164130140150170180190121158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#12
60.20.7
60.4→59.7
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
red by 0.3
4728
#6
59.90.1
59.1→59.2
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
Second
2470
#5
51.30.7
51.6→50.8
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
blue by 1.6
2847
#4
52.90.1
52.2→52.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Third
5232
#19
48.30.7
48.6→47.8
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
blue by 0.1
5348
#10
48.40.1
47.7→47.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5