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Red185
284752.9
472859.9
534848.4
Blue184
460763.3
591354.3
517238.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162162160165170175180185184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.5
58.659.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
blue by 3.5
63.30.7
62.663.3
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
Second
52.90.5
51.752.2
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 1.4
54.30.7
53.654.3
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
5348
#10
48.40.5
47.247.7
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5
red by 9.9
5172
#15
38.60.7
37.938.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6