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Red174
517238.6
591354.3
460763.3
Blue159
604560.2
565332.4
205259.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15916480100120140180200220240174159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.5
62.162.6
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
red by 3.2
60.20.1
60.360.2
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
54.30.5
53.153.6
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 5.5
59.80.1
59.959.8
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
Third
5172
#15
38.60.5
37.337.9
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
red by 6.2
5653
#25
32.40.1
32.532.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1