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Red65
298750.5
614638.3
284640.4
Blue83
329729.3
222031.9
591354.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156124501002006583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#24
50.55.2
56.150.9
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End7.1
blue by 3.8
54.32.5
55.052.5
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
2846
#35
40.45.2
45.340.2
Auto13.5
Teleop20.0
End6.4
red by 8.4
2220
#34
31.92.5
36.734.2
Auto11.7
Teleop14.6
End6.2
Third
6146
#20
38.35.2
44.239.0
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 8.9
3297
#28
29.32.8
28.625.8
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned