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Qual 22023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red126
288352.9
517238.6
702844.4
Blue154
247051.3
205259.8
753032.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140140130135145150126154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#17
52.90.3
52.0→51.6
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.5
blue by 7.0
2052
#3
59.80.7
54.3→55.0
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
Second
7028
#32
44.40.3
44.6→44.2
Auto14.6
Teleop22.6
End7.2
blue by 6.9
2470
#5
51.30.7
49.2→49.9
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Third
5172
#15
38.60.3
34.6→34.3
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
red by 6.5
7530
#21
32.10.9
29.9→30.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned