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Red100
218130.4
284752.9
308232.0
Blue169
706840.9
472859.9
604560.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11616150100150200250100169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.3
48.046.7
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
blue by 7.3
60.21.6
56.257.8
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
3082
#26
32.01.3
34.433.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
blue by 27.9
59.91.6
53.354.9
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
Third
2181
#30
30.41.6
32.130.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End10.4
blue by 10.5
40.91.6
37.438.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned