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Red137
466341.1
563843.9
543445.8
Blue98
250936.0
392639.1
565332.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231279010011013014015013798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#13
45.80.6
41.942.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.6
End6.7
red by 6.7
3926
#18
39.11.2
38.837.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
Second
43.90.8
39.240.0
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 7.9
2509
#14
36.01.2
39.338.1
Auto13.5
Teleop16.8
End5.9
Third
4663
#22
41.10.6
38.439.0
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
red by 8.7
5653
#25
32.41.2
36.034.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned