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Red92
313429.1
523248.3
466341.1
Blue101
308232.0
591354.3
462437.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713440608010016018020092101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#19
48.32.2
51.048.9
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
blue by 6.0
54.31.6
52.551.0
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
4663
#22
41.12.2
39.036.9
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
red by 4.0
4624
#29
37.11.6
39.037.4
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
Third
3134
#31
29.12.2
29.527.3
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.7
blue by 2.9
3082
#26
32.01.6
33.131.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed