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Red139
534848.4
753032.1
284752.9
Blue90
329729.3
284640.4
565332.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010405015013990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.3
46.748.0
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
red by 12.5
2846
#35
40.40.7
40.239.5
Auto13.5
Teleop20.0
End6.4
Second
5348
#10
48.41.3
41.542.9
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5
red by 16.0
5653
#25
32.40.7
34.834.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Third
7530
#21
32.11.5
30.832.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.9
End8.3
red by 2.7
3297
#28
29.30.7
25.825.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed