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Red147
392639.1
614638.3
460763.3
Blue119
702844.4
604560.2
883621.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148127050100200250147119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.7
60.461.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
red by 3.2
60.20.2
57.857.6
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
3926
#18
39.10.7
37.638.3
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
blue by 5.3
7028
#32
44.40.2
44.244.0
Auto14.6
Teleop22.6
End7.2
Third
6146
#20
38.30.7
39.039.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 16.9
8836
#36
21.40.2
20.119.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed