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Qual 152023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red160
226450.3
517238.6
563843.9
Blue133
453634.2
247051.3
218130.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351196080100160180200160133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#16
50.32.1
49.0→51.0
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
blue by 1.0
2470
#5
51.31.0
49.9→50.8
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Second
5638
#8
43.92.1
40.9→43.0
Auto11.3
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 9.7
4536
#33
34.21.0
33.0→34.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Third
5172
#15
38.62.1
34.3→36.3
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
red by 8.2
2181
#30
30.41.1
30.6→31.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned