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Red157
205259.8
462437.1
216949.8
Blue156
472859.9
298750.5
308232.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314150100200157156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.0
55.056.1
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
blue by 0.1
59.90.2
55.755.9
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
Second
2169
#11
49.81.0
49.250.3
Auto14.3
Teleop28.8
End6.3
blue by 0.7
2987
#24
50.50.2
50.951.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End7.1
Third
4624
#29
37.11.0
37.438.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
red by 5.1
3082
#26
32.00.2
31.531.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned