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Red79
222031.9
250936.0
523248.3
Blue121
181648.8
313429.1
706840.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13111605015020025030035079121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#19
48.32.8
48.946.1
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
blue by 0.5
1816
#23
48.80.7
44.445.1
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Second
2509
#14
36.02.8
38.135.3
Auto13.5
Teleop16.8
End5.9
blue by 4.9
40.90.7
38.939.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
Third
2220
#34
31.92.8
34.231.4
Auto11.7
Teleop14.6
End6.2
red by 2.8
3134
#31
29.10.7
27.328.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed