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Red137
181648.8
308232.0
250936.0
Blue127
288352.9
534848.4
614638.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714950100200250137127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#23
48.81.6
43.144.7
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
blue by 4.1
2883
#17
52.90.6
52.652.0
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.5
Second
2509
#14
36.01.6
37.839.3
Auto13.5
Teleop16.8
End5.9
blue by 12.4
5348
#10
48.40.7
42.141.4
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5
Third
3082
#26
32.01.6
32.834.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
blue by 6.3
6146
#20
38.30.6
44.844.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned