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Red173
284752.9
604560.2
591354.3
Blue76
725741.5
466341.1
453634.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16711810015020025017376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.21.1
55.156.2
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 18.6
7257
#27
41.53.4
42.839.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End6.5
Second
54.31.1
53.955.0
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 13.2
4663
#22
41.13.0
41.538.4
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
Third
52.91.1
46.848.0
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
red by 18.7
4536
#33
34.23.0
34.931.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed