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Red128
472859.9
462437.1
517238.6
Blue134
565332.4
226450.3
298750.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142142100110120130150160170128134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.8
55.955.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
red by 9.4
2987
#24
50.50.1
51.150.9
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End7.1
Second
5172
#15
38.60.8
36.335.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
blue by 11.8
2264
#16
50.30.1
51.050.9
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
Third
4624
#29
37.10.8
38.537.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
red by 4.7
5653
#25
32.40.1
34.134.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned