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Red125
247051.3
308232.0
226450.3
Blue132
753032.1
181648.8
466341.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143123406080100160180200125132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.4
51.651.2
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
red by 2.5
1816
#23
48.80.9
47.047.9
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Second
2264
#16
50.30.4
49.949.5
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
red by 9.2
4663
#22
41.10.9
39.640.5
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
Third
3082
#26
32.00.4
32.832.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.8
blue by 0.1
7530
#21
32.10.9
31.532.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned