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Red109
453634.2
329729.3
706840.9
Blue100
462437.1
565332.4
883621.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10996406080120140160109100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.6
39.840.4
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
red by 3.8
4624
#29
37.10.4
36.936.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
Second
4536
#33
34.20.6
33.033.6
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
red by 1.8
5653
#25
32.40.4
32.732.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Third
3297
#28
29.30.6
27.528.1
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
red by 8.0
8836
#36
21.40.4
21.220.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned