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Red162
604560.2
565332.4
205259.8
Blue158
226450.3
591354.3
181648.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164153100120140180200220240162158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.20.1
60.060.0
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 5.9
54.30.9
53.053.9
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Second
59.80.1
59.759.6
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
red by 9.5
2264
#16
50.30.9
49.550.3
Auto11.8
Teleop30.3
End7.5
Third
5653
#25
32.40.1
32.332.2
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 16.4
1816
#23DQ
48.80.9
47.948.8
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned