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Red142
392639.1
329729.3
472859.9
Blue158
247051.3
460763.3
706840.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12616550100150200250142158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.3
56.958.1
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
blue by 3.5
63.30.5
62.462.9
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
Second
3926
#18
39.11.3
37.839.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.3
End7.4
blue by 12.3
51.30.5
51.251.7
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Third
3297
#28
29.31.3
28.129.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 11.5
40.90.5
40.440.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned