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Red120
466341.1
883621.4
298750.5
Blue134
284640.4
523248.3
288352.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11315650100200250120134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#24
50.50.6
49.950.5
Auto11.1
Teleop31.4
End7.1
blue by 2.3
2883
#17
52.90.8
53.752.9
Auto14.1
Teleop28.4
End8.5
Second
4663
#22
41.10.6
40.541.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.9
End6.2
blue by 7.2
5232
#19
48.30.8
49.548.7
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
Third
8836
#36
21.40.6
20.821.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 19.0
2846
#35
40.40.8
41.240.4
Auto13.5
Teleop20.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned