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Match 12023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red117
517238.6
591354.3
460763.3
Blue134
318460.2
247051.3
523248.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162164100150200250117134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#1
63.30.8
62.9→62.1
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
red by 3.2
3184
#12
60.20.4
60.5→60.0
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
Second
5913
#7
54.30.8
53.9→53.1
Auto13.6
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 3.0
2470
#5
51.30.4
51.7→51.2
Auto14.3
Teleop28.0
End8.0
Third
5172
#15
38.60.8
38.1→37.3
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
blue by 9.8
5232
#19
48.30.4
48.7→48.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6