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Match 22023 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red165
205259.8
565332.4
604560.2
Blue176
534848.4
472859.9
284752.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631600100200300400500165176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#2
60.20.3
60.0→60.3
Auto11.5
Teleop40.3
End7.5
red by 0.3
4728
#6
59.90.1
58.1→58.2
Auto11.1
Teleop38.2
End9.0
Second
2052
#3
59.80.3
59.6→59.9
Auto15.4
Teleop32.9
End11.2
red by 6.9
2847
#4
52.90.1
51.2→51.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
Third
5653
#25
32.40.3
32.2→32.5
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.1
blue by 16.0
5348
#10
48.40.1
46.7→46.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.4
End6.5