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Red135
460763.3
318460.2
453634.2
Blue114
523248.3
181648.8
462437.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15314750100200250135114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.6
61.060.4
Auto13.9
Teleop39.1
End9.0
red by 14.5
1816
#23
48.82.0
44.742.7
Auto15.2
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Second
3184
#12
60.20.6
58.357.7
Auto14.2
Teleop36.8
End6.0
red by 11.8
5232
#19
48.32.0
53.051.0
Auto7.8
Teleop30.2
End9.6
Third
4536
#33
34.20.6
31.931.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End7.4
blue by 2.9
4624
#29
37.12.0
41.039.0
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed