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Red136
706840.9
614638.3
284752.9
Blue131
753032.1
284640.4
517238.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142106050200250136131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.5
46.446.8
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End8.4
red by 12.5
2846
#35
40.41.8
43.545.3
Auto13.5
Teleop20.0
End6.4
Second
40.90.5
38.338.8
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End7.3
red by 2.3
5172
#15
38.61.8
32.834.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.7
End9.6
Third
6146
#20
38.30.5
44.344.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.3
End8.1
red by 6.2
7530
#21
32.12.4
27.529.9
Auto6.7
Teleop16.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned