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Red80
999627.6
128817.1
639137.5
Blue21
806916.6
74963.2
674424.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7541020601001201408021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#14
37.50.8
36.337.0
Auto13.8
Teleop19.1
End4.4
red by 12.8
6744
#23
24.71.5
26.625.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Second
27.61.3
14.015.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 11.0
8069
#19
16.61.5
11.410.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.4
Third
1288
#15
17.10.8
18.319.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End4.1
red by 13.9
7496
#16
3.21.5
4.83.4
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed