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Red86
99999.5
642463.4
33975.4
Blue158
999130.3
170656.9
432945.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713105010015020025086158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.41.0
59.060.0
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 6.5
56.92.5
60.462.9
Auto14.5
Teleop35.3
End6.7
Second
9999
#24
9.51.6
6.58.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 35.7
4329
#13
45.12.5
44.246.6
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End10.3
Third
3397
#20
5.41.0
5.76.7
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End3.7
blue by 24.9
30.34.1
16.520.6
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed