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Red104
450029.0
99985.5
414353.1
Blue43
711717.0
807711.0
425635.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986705015020010443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.3
47.849.0
Auto14.5
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 17.3
4256
#12
35.71.5
41.039.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End6.0
Second
4500
#11
29.01.3
28.629.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.6
End6.2
red by 12.0
17.01.5
14.212.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.4
End7.4
Third
9998
#18
5.52.1
3.55.6
Auto0.2
Teleop0.4
End5.2
blue by 5.5
11.01.5
11.09.5
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed