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Red46
999627.6
517620.7
74963.2
Blue40
998814.6
87197.6
806916.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393202060801004640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.8
15.316.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 11.0
8069
#19
16.60.9
10.010.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.4
Second
20.70.5
20.220.6
Auto7.4
Teleop5.4
End7.7
red by 6.1
9988
#21
14.61.5
10.111.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End4.2
Third
7496
#16
3.20.5
3.43.8
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.9
End2.1
blue by 4.4
8719
#22
7.60.9
6.77.5
Auto0.2
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
1%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed