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Red91
806916.6
711717.0
639137.5
Blue46
33975.4
425635.7
128817.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75632040801001209146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#14
37.50.5
36.537.0
Auto13.8
Teleop19.1
End4.4
red by 1.8
4256
#12
35.70.4
36.135.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.4
End6.0
Second
17.00.5
15.916.5
Auto6.2
Teleop3.4
End7.4
blue by 0.1
1288
#15
17.10.4
17.517.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Third
8069
#19
16.60.5
15.516.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.4
red by 11.2
3397
#20
5.40.4
5.85.4
Auto0.8
Teleop1.0
End3.7