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Red162
999130.3
998814.6
414353.1
Blue97
999627.6
642463.4
99999.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939040608010012014016016297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.2
51.652.8
Auto14.5
Teleop30.3
End8.0
blue by 10.3
63.40.1
61.461.5
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
Second
30.32.1
27.829.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End4.6
red by 2.7
27.60.2
24.324.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
Third
9988
#21
14.62.1
12.114.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End4.2
red by 5.1
9999
#24
9.50.2
6.26.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End3.2