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Red127
999130.3
998814.6
414353.1
Blue65
807711.0
432945.1
99985.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937102040608012014016012765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.9
50.751.6
Auto14.5
Teleop30.3
End8.0
red by 7.9
4329
#13
45.10.0
45.845.8
Auto13.4
Teleop21.7
End10.3
Second
30.31.5
26.327.8
Auto12.3
Teleop13.7
End4.6
red by 19.3
11.00.0
11.611.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End5.4
Third
9988
#21
14.61.5
10.612.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End4.2
red by 9.0
9998
#18
5.50.0
6.56.6
Auto0.2
Teleop0.4
End5.2