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Red129
99999.5
642463.4
999627.6
Blue103
639137.5
711717.0
806916.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87690204060100120140160129103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.40.9
60.561.4
Auto16.1
Teleop36.4
End9.3
red by 25.9
6391
#14
37.50.4
36.036.5
Auto13.8
Teleop19.1
End4.4
Second
27.61.5
22.824.3
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End5.2
red by 10.6
17.00.4
15.515.9
Auto6.2
Teleop3.4
End7.4
Third
9999
#24
9.51.5
4.76.2
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 7.1
8069
#19
16.60.4
15.115.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.4