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Red101
235925.3
93714.2
234522.4
Blue72
317217.0
176931.4
184717.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477202040608010012010172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#12
25.31.3
20.121.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.0
End8.8
blue by 6.2
1769
#15
31.40.5
27.828.3
Auto11.1
Teleop13.6
End6.8
Second
2345
#19
22.42.2
21.723.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 5.4
1847
#34
17.10.5
19.920.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End6.9
Third
937
#28
14.22.2
5.47.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3172
#35
17.00.8
16.817.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned